Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.198523 0.228918 0.263717 0.306794 0.359079 0.420994 0.500615
2025-05-25 0.151932 0.190644 0.240067 0.309021 0.404752 0.536109 0.735763
2025-06-01 0.123419 0.164396 0.220987 0.307380 0.440712 0.647445 1.011615
2025-06-08 0.103734 0.144497 0.204264 0.302195 0.466947 0.750372 1.320394
2025-06-15 0.092769 0.134378 0.198708 0.311127 0.516202 0.906652 1.806520
2025-06-22 0.081469 0.121571 0.186149 0.304859 0.536050 1.015176 2.259773
2025-06-29 0.074134 0.113750 0.180055 0.308039 0.573936 1.174794 2.948741
2025-07-06 0.067079 0.105309 0.171371 0.304246 0.596137 1.308472 3.677924
2025-07-13 0.062558 0.100513 0.168274 0.310516 0.642000 1.521794 4.876679
2025-07-20 0.058819 0.096566 0.166052 0.317981 0.693020 1.776065 6.549631
2025-07-27 0.055465 0.092877 0.163716 0.324631 0.744336 2.061557 8.813586
2025-08-03 0.052752 0.090035 0.162598 0.333755 0.805638 2.420433 12.197927
2025-08-10 0.049702 0.086287 0.159272 0.337440 0.854651 2.777675 16.580313
2025-08-17 0.046780 0.082489 0.155365 0.339058 0.899073 3.157374 22.515176
2025-08-24 0.043880 0.078436 0.150383 0.336970 0.931572 3.517601 29.959400
2025-08-31 0.041012 0.074169 0.144397 0.331087 0.949707 3.830710 38.748465
2025-09-07 0.039519 0.072577 0.144215 0.341088 1.029239 4.558478 59.973131
2025-09-14 0.037069 0.068750 0.138420 0.334050 1.042364 4.920777 78.597918
2025-09-21 0.035481 0.066619 0.136362 0.337616 1.099996 5.651422 119.247830
2025-09-28 0.033586 0.063658 0.131978 0.333361 1.124009 6.188302 167.353538
2025-10-05 0.032449 0.062261 0.131255 0.340396 1.201701 7.280194 287.797071
2025-10-12 0.031452 0.061087 0.130948 0.348775 1.290959 8.662874 544.242509
2025-10-19 0.030472 0.059866 0.130378 0.356245 1.380985 10.279911 1118.062222